Preseason Rankings
Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-17.5#352
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.0#282
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-12.2#351
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#318
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.5% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.1% 6.5% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 15.4% 27.8% 14.2%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 33.8% 20.4% 35.1%
First Four1.0% 1.4% 1.0%
First Round0.4% 0.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Away) - 9.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 46 - 147 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 272   @ Tennessee St. L 61-75 9%    
  Nov 11, 2019 140   @ UAB L 53-75 2%    
  Nov 14, 2019 29   @ Cincinnati L 45-78 0.2%   
  Nov 16, 2019 150   @ Miami (OH) L 54-75 3%    
  Nov 21, 2019 81   @ Clemson L 48-75 1%    
  Nov 25, 2019 297   Troy L 62-69 27%    
  Dec 07, 2019 216   Jacksonville St. L 59-70 16%    
  Dec 14, 2019 63   @ Miami (FL) L 52-81 1%    
  Dec 17, 2019 138   @ South Alabama L 55-77 3%    
  Dec 20, 2019 313   North Alabama L 63-68 33%    
  Dec 29, 2019 41   @ Notre Dame L 49-80 0.3%   
  Jan 04, 2020 269   @ Grambling St. L 60-75 11%    
  Jan 06, 2020 303   @ Jackson St. L 55-67 15%    
  Jan 11, 2020 343   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 62-63 47%    
  Jan 13, 2020 353   Mississippi Valley W 69-65 62%    
  Jan 18, 2020 332   Alabama St. L 63-69 31%    
  Jan 25, 2020 345   @ Alcorn St. L 60-67 29%    
  Jan 27, 2020 346   @ Southern L 60-66 29%    
  Feb 01, 2020 265   Texas Southern L 71-80 24%    
  Feb 03, 2020 277   Prairie View L 65-73 26%    
  Feb 08, 2020 343   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 59-66 28%    
  Feb 10, 2020 353   @ Mississippi Valley L 66-68 42%    
  Feb 15, 2020 332   @ Alabama St. L 61-70 23%    
  Feb 22, 2020 345   Alcorn St. L 63-64 48%    
  Feb 24, 2020 346   Southern L 62-63 49%    
  Feb 29, 2020 265   @ Texas Southern L 68-83 12%    
  Mar 02, 2020 277   @ Prairie View L 62-76 13%    
  Mar 05, 2020 269   Grambling St. L 63-72 24%    
  Mar 07, 2020 303   Jackson St. L 58-64 31%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 3.1 3.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.3 4.6 2.0 0.2 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.9 6.0 5.5 1.9 0.1 0.0 17.0 8th
9th 0.2 1.6 4.8 7.1 5.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 20.5 9th
10th 1.8 5.5 7.5 6.2 2.9 0.7 0.0 24.6 10th
Total 1.8 5.7 9.1 11.6 13.1 13.2 12.1 10.1 8.0 5.9 4.0 2.3 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 82.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 48.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 16.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 14.4% 14.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 18.1% 18.1% 16.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 0.8% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 0.1 0.7
12-6 1.6% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.1 1.5
11-7 2.3% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.1 2.2
10-8 4.0% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.2 3.8
9-9 5.9% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.2 5.7
8-10 8.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.9
7-11 10.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.0
6-12 12.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.1
5-13 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.2
4-14 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
3-15 11.6% 11.6
2-16 9.1% 9.1
1-17 5.7% 5.7
0-18 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 1.0 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%